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The rupee fell against the dollar for a second straight day this week, due to dollar demand by oil importers.
The dollar gained against other Asian currencies amid speculation that the US Federal Reserve would trim its bond purchases, known as quantitative easing, sooner than expected.
The rupee had opened at Rs 54.98 against the dollar today and during intra-day trades, it touched a high of Rs 54.95 before closing at a near-six month low at Rs 55.42. The rupee had ended at Rs 55.11 yesterday.
Stocks and commodities have historically moved in opposite directions. Each asset class typically has a 16-18 year bull market followed by an equally long bear market. Just Read This studied commodity and stock market cycles and confirmed these correlations
Just being aware of these cycle patterns and understanding where in the cycle you are will give great insight. The smart investors will buy into these long bull market cycles early and ride them out until the end. There is a lot of money for contrarian investors to be had as the price of assets rise during a bull market cycle. Even a novice investor can look like a genius by buying into a secular bull market early.
You don’t have to be a genius to make money in a bull market. Simply buying an index can give you great return in bull market cycle. More ambitious investors can make extraordinary returns by speculating in specific commodities or stocks during a bull market cycle.
The chart below shows relative price strength, of stocks vs. commodities, for the last 140 years. As you can see the result is remarkably consistent with a bull market in stocks and commodities taking turns every 16-18 years on average.
1906----1923
The commodity bull market began just before the stock market crash of 1907. The commodity bull market lasted until after WWI
1929----1949
In 1929 the stock market crashed. The stock market went from DOW 380 in 1929 to DOW 40 in 1932. A 90% drop in price. During this time commodities were in a bull market and stocks were in a bear market. The bull market in commodities only intensified during World War II. Commodities were in short supply and prices went through the roof.
1950----1965
World War II was over and the depression had ended. Commodities were plentiful, as they were no longer needed in the war effort, and the economy was on fire. It led to a secular bull market in stocks that lasted for 15 years.
1966----1982
During this bear market in stocks the DOW went nowhere for 16 years. The market lost 22% in price during this period. However, the decline in the market was much larger if you factor in inflation. The CPI index went from 95.4 to 308.6, increasing by 203%. Interest rates went up to double digits and commodities boomed. Stocks had been stagnate throughout the late sixties, and all of the seventies with the exception of a few bear marker rally’s 1967-1968, 1970-1973, 1974, 1976, and 1980. By 1979 business week had printed “Equities are dead” on their cover page. Not many investors wanted to touch stocks. By the time the bear market ended in 1982 stocks had become dirt cheap.
1982----2000
The cycle repeated again. Former Fed chairman Paul Volker had just stepped in and end inflation with high double digit interest rates which caused a sever but short recession and laid the foundation for economic growth. By 1982 stocks were dirt cheap and as the economy took off an 18 year secular bull market in stocks was created. It ended with a .com mania and a crash in 2000.
2000----Till Date
The new commodity bull market starts. During year 2000 shortages of commodities started developing as China, India, and the other emerging markets started using more and more of them. We don’t know when this commodities bull market will end but it will probably be around 2014-2018. By the end of the commodity bull market commodities will no longer be in shortage and the bull market will come to an end.
From a Birdseye view this chart looks very consistent and predictable. It is almost as God was playing the market and switching between stocks and commodities every 16-18 years. Use this knowledge to your advantage and invest in the current bull market.
Friends!!!!
From Last Many Days We Were Shouting About Dabba Stocks and Advising You to Exit at Any Cost.!!!
We & You Know Some Stock Crash Heavily & Some Stock Ready For Crash Or Out of Business In Nex 1 to 3 Year!!!!!
Friends!!!!
From Year 2003 to 2008 We Saw Biggest Bull Run In Stock Market !!!!!!
In This Bull Run Many Stock Rise 10 time to 100 time and Some stock Rise 500 time to 1000 time !!!!!
In Last Bull Run Leadership In The Hands Of Cyclical Industry Like Commodity Infra Power Real Estate!!!!
Every Trend Has to An End So As Per Our Estimate Bull Market In Cyclical Already End Or Ready For End!!!!
It Can Happen In Next 1 to3 Year!!!!!!
1.So Be Ready For More Down Fall In Commodity Stocks !!!
2.All Commodity Stocks May Not Go There 2008 High In Hurry Or May Be In Next 5-10 Years.
3. Forget All 2008 Bull Market Leaders !!!
4. Friends Infra As A Invesment We Not Expect Any Profit From This Sector. Sooner Or Later All Infra Projects Can Be Takeover By Govt.
Friends!!!!
In Last Many Days We Got Many E-Mails About New Bull Market !!!!
All E-mails Says That If All 2008 Leaders Not Go Up Where From New Bull Market Come !!!!
Dont Panic Bull Market Still Alive & Definatly Come & Come With More Force Full .Even Bull Market Alreday Started!!!!!
Friends!!!!
You All Know Dow Jones & S&P Alreday Hitt There Life Time Closing High!!!!
Just See Last 120 Years U.S Stock Market Trend U.S. Bull Market Start When Commodity Bull Market End!!!!
Stocks and commodities have Historically Moved in Opposite Directions!!!!!
Each Asset Class Typically Has a 16-18 Year Bull Market Followed by an Equally Long Bear Market!!!!!
In India We See In Last Bull Market 2003-08 Commodity Stocks In Center Stage Like...SAIL..SESA GOA...TATA STEEL..HINDALCO.......ETC
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Friends!!!!
Now Million Dollar Qestion Where From New Bull Market Come!!!!!!!
Last Many Days We Research All Above Factor & Find Result About Next Bull Market!!!!
Friends India is the biggest Exporter of Services & IT & Gems & Jewellary!!!
In Last 2-3 Year India's Biggest Problem Spike In Commodity Price !!!!!!
India Biggest Importer of Commodity Gold Crude Oil Edible Oil!!!!!!
As Commodity Price Rise India's Inflation Also Spike RBI Rise Interset Rate 12 Time In Last 2-3 Years!!!!!
Now In Last One Year Commodity Price Almost Stable Or Trend Down!!!!
Inflation Also Trend Down & RBI 's Stance Now More toGrowth From Inflation!!!!!!
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We Know You All Eager TO Now Where From Big Bull Market Come!!!!!!
Friends!!!
So We Ready For Big Bull Market In IT -Media -Consumption- FMCG- Pharma --Export!!!!!
Sooner Or Later We See Infosys Heading to Rs.10000/- In Next 3-5 Years TCS Will Hitt Rs.5000/- ZEE Ent Again Cross Rs.1000/- HUL To Cross Rs.1500/- JUBLIFOOD Can Cross Rs.5000/-
So Bull Already Enter In IT--MEDIA--FMCG--CONSUMPTION---PHARMA--EXPORT
Alert:------------
When A Bull Market Start . Stock Can Rise 10 Time to 1000 Time As It Happen Past & We Expect Again Happen In Future
1. All Above View is Our Personal View Please Do Your Home Work Before Any Investment!!!
2.The Views Expressed In The Above Newsletter Are Based On Knowledge And Capability Of Our Team And Do Not Reflect Any Fundamental Validity.
3.The Recommendations Are Solely Informational And Is Not An Offer To Buy Or Sell!!!!!!
BUT HOW CAN IT BE WON????
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IF YOU TRY!!!!!!!!
.............YOU MAY WIN OR YOU MAY LOSE.........
...............IF YOU NOT TRY YOU NEVER WIN ..............
The investment ideas of Warren Buffett is most basic and simple to implement. The beauty of his investment ideas is that they are so easy and logical that at timespeople overlook the same ideas even though it must have crossed their mind. These investment ideas of Warren Buffett has not only help the maestro to make billions but also stands as a guiding principles for every other investor of this world.
Warren Buffett’s investment ideas asks us to buy stocksof only those companies whose “fundamentals” are very strong and its stock is available at “undervalued price”. When we say strong fundamentals we mean a healthy financial report, unique product line which is run by exceptional managers.
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What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
2.EVERY DIP IS BUYING OPPORTUNITY....
1.Some Insider Say NIfy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistence at......6040...6095..6138
Nifty.....Today Support at ....5920...5865...5805
Nifty Range...4200--------6600
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Sell Nifty Around 6200/6300
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2.Midcaps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 24/05/2013
BUY LT SL 1375 TGT 1440/1480
SELL JSWST SL 700 TGT 650/620 BUY AB 705
buy sunphr sl 992 tgt 1015/1025/1040
buy idea sl 126 tgt 132/134
buy tatast sl 305 tgt 314/318
buy dives lab ab 1100 tgt 1115/1130 sl 1070
UP SIDE WE HAVE EXIT CHANCE NO FRESH BUYING
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.83/-)
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RBI TO ANNOUNCE NEW BANK LICENCE SOON
L&T HOLDINGS EXPCTED TO GET FIRST BANKING LICENCE !!!!
Rs.120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
Forget Short Term Movment
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