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Yessss Some One predicting
Oil could plummet to $35 a barrel next year if OPEC doesn't reach an agreement by the spring, oil price tracker Tom Kloza said Wednesday.
The founder of Oil Price Information Services that he expects at least a "lip service agreement" from OPEC members Thursday, when they meet to discuss output, but the members will largely ignore it, creating a bigger crisis in about six months.
"When you look at the second half of 2015, that's when you see oil beginning to dwarf demand by about a million, a million and a half barrels a day," he said. "Thirty-five dollars is a possibility if they don't get an agreement next spring because that's when the oil really starts to build and you can have a billion barrels of oil with really no place to put it."
Kloza said OPEC ministers may agree this week to cut production by 750,000 to 1 million barrels per day, but members will likely produce all they can, and there will be no compliance with the accord, except from the Saudis, Kuwaitis and the United Emirates.
Asia share markets are headed for a slightly better year after 2014's low returns, but bigger gains will come from seeking reform beneficiaries in China and India, Goldman Sachs said.
"2014 has been another year with an unexciting headline return," with the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index (MXAPJ) up only around 3 percent after a selloff in September wiped out earlier gains, Goldman said in a report Monday. But after the recent "concentrated" outflows, overall positioning in the region appears light, it said.
In addition, many Asia ex-Japan active funds are up only around an average 2.4 percent so far this year, underperforming the MXAPJ, it said.
"Performance pressure so far and a desire to amplify returns could drive broader re-risking from active funds," Goldman said.
But even so, Goldman only expects the MXAPJ will rise to 520 by the end of 2015, compared with around 477 currently, for a single-digit return, amid conservative earnings growth forecasts and expectations valuations are already full.
Goldman sees "pockets of opportunity" to boost returns in the region, such as reform plays.
"We expect the reform momentum to gather pace next year and if implemented effectively, improve investor confidence in growth and corporate profitability," it said, with India, China and Indonesia among the beneficiaries.
The key areas of focus for reform next year are likely to be state-owned enterprises, fiscal reforms, anti-pollution (in China), public sector undertakings [government-owned corporations], power and banking reforms (in India), and infrastructure spending (in Indonesia).
Goldman rates China shares at Overweight, expecting a "solid" 14 percent by the end of 2015 and a 12,300 target on the HSCEI index, with the central bank's decision Friday to cut interest rates likely to help sentiment near-term. The HSCEI is currently trading around 10,757.
In India, it expects the reforms started by the new administration will gather pace, adding the economy may benefit the most in the region from lower oil prices flowing through to its current account, fiscal deficit and inflation.
Overall, Goldman rates India at overweight, with a 9500 target for the Nifty index, which is currently trading around 8530. It also expects the country's internet sector could show "outsized" gains over the next few years amid rising internet and smartphone penetration, while logistics and packaging plays could also benefit from e-commerce
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What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
1.Some Insider Say NIfTy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistance at......8488...8495..8535
Nifty.....Today Support at ..8350...8332...8265
Nifty Range...6300--------8200
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Our Opinion for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2. Mid-caps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS : 27/11/2014
buy bharatforg tgt 940/980/1000 sl 900
buy idfc ab 163 tgt 169/175/190 sl 151
buy tatacom tgt 440/480 sl 390
sell tatast sl 472 tgt 460/450/430
sell sbi sl 313 tgt 301/295/290/280
sell maruti sl 3315 tgt 3250/3210
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.65/-)
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!!!!
Rs.90/120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
MARKSANS PHARMA
(Bse Ticker-524404@ Rs.18.80)
TARGET
Rs.21/- Rs.24/30/35/40/80 /140SL Rs.15/-
Forget Short Term Movment
DISCLOSURE:-Our Friends & Colleagues, We Personally May Have Positions In The Above Mentioned Stocks. Anyone Who Has Links To Us In Either Way May Also Position In The Above Stocks.
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DISCLAIMER:- : Although information has been obtained from and is based upon sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and the information may be incomplete or condensed, Anyhow No Guarantee / Responsibility For Any Kind Of Loss Or Profit.All opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and none of the stock information, data and company information presented herein constitutes a legally binding recommendation or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities.Information presented is general information that does not take into account your individual circumstances, financial situation, or needs, nor does it present a personalised recommendation to you. Individual stocks presented may not be suitable for youInformation presented is general and based on technical analysis and Personal observations. Due care has been taken while preparing these comments, no responsibility will be assumed by the author for the consequences what so ever, resulting out of acting on these Information .Kirtiscripscan is not investment advisor. Please consult an advisor about the appropriateness of your investment decisions.
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