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The rupee fell against the dollar for a second straight day this week, due to dollar demand by oil importers.
The dollar gained against other Asian currencies amid speculation that the US Federal Reserve would trim its bond purchases, known as quantitative easing, sooner than expected.
The rupee had opened at Rs 54.98 against the dollar today and during intra-day trades, it touched a high of Rs 54.95 before closing at a near-six month low at Rs 55.42. The rupee had ended at Rs 55.11 yesterday.
The recent sell-off in commodity currencies triggered by a fall in demand for resources and the rush to buy U.S. dollar, may continue, say analysts, as the need to diversify capitaldwindles.
Commodity prices have been hammered by worries that China's economic recovery is slowing, along with the U.S Federal Reserve hinting at a possible cutback to its stimulus plans, which is boosting the U.S. dollar
The Australian and New Zealand dollars, known as commodity currencies, as their economies are heavily dependent on commodity exports, have in particular been under pressure in May falling around 6 percent against the U.S. dollar from monthly highs.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars have gained around 38 percent each versus the dollar since 2009 while the Canadian dollar is up 17 percent, driven by near-zero interest rates in developed markets.
But the U.S. dollar has been staging a comeback, up nearly 5 percent this year against a basket of currencies with the dollar index hitting a near three-year peak of 84.42 last week after U.S. Fed Chief Ben Bernanke's comments on tapering quantitative easing.
A slowdon in China, the world's largest consumer of industrial metals, has contributed to the recent fall in key commodities prices like copper, which has shed 13 percent since touching a peak in February of $8,346 a tonne for the year. On Monday, Chinese steel futures dropped more than 2 percent to their lowest in almost nine months on soft demand from the world's biggest steel consumer.
For the past two years, as regular readers you know, We have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but We don’t think the bear market is over. Wethink we still have a very long way to go.
There are five reasons why We expect prices to drop a lot more!!!!
First, during the last decade commodity producers were caught by surprise by the surge in demand. Their belated response was to ramp up production dramatically, but since there is a long lead-time between intention and supply, for the next several years we will continue to experience rapid growth in supply. As an aside, in our many talks to different groups of investors and boards of directors it has been our impression that commodity producers have been the slowest at understanding the full implications of a Chinese rebalancing.
Second, almost all the increase in demand in the past twenty years, which in practice occurred mostly in the past decade, can be explained as the consequence of the incredibly unbalanced growth process in China. But as even the most exuberant of China bulls now recognize, China’s economic growth is slowing and We expect it to decline a lot more in the next few years.
Third, and more importantly, as China’s economy rebalances towards a much more sustainable form of growth, this will automatically make Chinese growth much less commodity intensive. . Even if China is miraculously able to regain growth rates of 10-11% annually, a rebalancing economy will demand much less in the way of hard commodities.
Fourth, surging Chinese commodity purchases in the past few years supplied not just growing domestic needs but also rapidly growing inventory. The result is that inventory levels in China are much too high to support what growth in demand there will be over the next few years, and We expect Chinese in some cases to be net sellers, not net buyers, of a number of commodities.
And fifth reason in United State QE 3 to end soon . As per market expectation QE3 in America to end before year 2015 .This will effect commodity demand.
This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of commodities will collapse. We expect that certain commodities, like copper, iron ore coal and Crude will drop by 30% - 50% or more in the next one to three years.
Friends!!!!
From Last Many Days We Were Shouting About Dabba Stocks and Advising You to Exit at Any Cost.!!!
We & You Know Some Stock Crash Heavily & Some Stock Ready For Crash Or Out of Business In Nex 1 to 3 Year!!!!!
Friends!!!!
From Year 2003 to 2008 We Saw Biggest Bull Run In Stock Market !!!!!!
In This Bull Run Many Stock Rise 10 time to 100 time and Some stock Rise 500 time to 1000 time !!!!!
In Last Bull Run Leadership In The Hands Of Cyclical Industry Like Commodity Infra Power Real Estate!!!!
Every Trend Has to An End So As Per Our Estimate Bull Market In Cyclical Already End Or Ready For End!!!!
It Can Happen In Next 1 to3 Year!!!!!!
1.So Be Ready For More Down Fall In Commodity Stocks !!!
2.All Commodity Stocks May Not Go There 2008 High In Hurry Or May Be In Next 5-10 Years.
3. Forget All 2008 Bull Market Leaders !!!
4. Friends Infra As A Invesment We Not Expect Any Profit From This Sector. Sooner Or Later All Infra Projects Can Be Takeover By Govt.
Friends!!!!
In Last Many Days We Got Many E-Mails About New Bull Market !!!!
All E-mails Says That If All 2008 Leaders Not Go Up Where From New Bull Market Come !!!!
Dont Panic Bull Market Still Alive & Definatly Come & Come With More Force Full .Even Bull Market Alreday Started!!!!!
Friends!!!!
You All Know Dow Jones & S&P Alreday Hitt There Life Time Closing High!!!!
Just See Last 120 Years U.S Stock Market Trend U.S. Bull Market Start When Commodity Bull Market End!!!!
Stocks and commodities have Historically Moved in Opposite Directions!!!!!
Each Asset Class Typically Has a 16-18 Year Bull Market Followed by an Equally Long Bear Market!!!!!
In India We See In Last Bull Market 2003-08 Commodity Stocks In Center Stage Like...SAIL..SESA GOA...TATA STEEL..HINDALCO.......ETC
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Friends!!!!
Now Million Dollar Qestion Where From New Bull Market Come!!!!!!!
Last Many Days We Research All Above Factor & Find Result About Next Bull Market!!!!
Friends India is the biggest Exporter of Services & IT & Gems & Jewellary!!!
In Last 2-3 Year India's Biggest Problem Spike In Commodity Price !!!!!!
India Biggest Importer of Commodity Gold Crude Oil Edible Oil!!!!!!
As Commodity Price Rise India's Inflation Also Spike RBI Rise Interset Rate 12 Time In Last 2-3 Years!!!!!
Now In Last One Year Commodity Price Almost Stable Or Trend Down!!!!
Inflation Also Trend Down & RBI 's Stance Now More toGrowth From Inflation!!!!!!
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We Know You All Eager TO Now Where From Big Bull Market Come!!!!!!
Friends!!!
So We Ready For Big Bull Market In IT -Media -Consumption- FMCG- Pharma --Export!!!!!
Sooner Or Later We See Infosys Heading to Rs.10000/- In Next 3-5 Years TCS Will Hitt Rs.5000/- ZEE Ent Again Cross Rs.1000/- HUL To Cross Rs.1500/- JUBLIFOOD Can Cross Rs.5000/-
So Bull Already Enter In IT--MEDIA--FMCG--CONSUMPTION---PHARMA--EXPORT
Alert:------------
When A Bull Market Start . Stock Can Rise 10 Time to 1000 Time As It Happen Past & We Expect Again Happen In Future
1. All Above View is Our Personal View Please Do Your Home Work Before Any Investment!!!
2.The Views Expressed In The Above Newsletter Are Based On Knowledge And Capability Of Our Team And Do Not Reflect Any Fundamental Validity.
3.The Recommendations Are Solely Informational And Is Not An Offer To Buy Or Sell!!!!!!
BUT HOW CAN IT BE WON????
FOR THIS JUST JOIN
(Train For Every Investor)
IF YOU TRY!!!!!!!!
.............YOU MAY WIN OR YOU MAY LOSE.........
...............IF YOU NOT TRY YOU NEVER WIN ..............
The investment ideas of Warren Buffett is most basic and simple to implement. The beauty of his investment ideas is that they are so easy and logical that at timespeople overlook the same ideas even though it must have crossed their mind. These investment ideas of Warren Buffett has not only help the maestro to make billions but also stands as a guiding principles for every other investor of this world.
Warren Buffett’s investment ideas asks us to buy stocksof only those companies whose “fundamentals” are very strong and its stock is available at “undervalued price”. When we say strong fundamentals we mean a healthy financial report, unique product line which is run by exceptional managers.
Think Big TO EARN BIGGG
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What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
2.EVERY DIP IS BUYING OPPORTUNITY....
1.Some Insider Say NIfy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistence at......6090...6125..6168
Nifty.....Today Support at ....6020...5965...5905
Nifty Range...4200--------6600
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Sell Nifty Around 6200/6300
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2.Midcaps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 31/05/2013
tatamoter and mnm look good
bu bhel tgt 207/210 sl 201
buy icic tgt 1240/1260 sl 1222
buy nifty sl 6030 tgt 6190
buy ril 840/850/860/880 sl 820
BUY LT SL 1375 TGT 1440/1480
buy tata st sl 297 tgt 340
buy sbi sl 2180 tgt 2220/ 2250/2375
UP SIDE WE HAVE EXIT CHANCE NO FRESH BUYING
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.83/-)
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RBI TO ANNOUNCE NEW BANK LICENCE SOON
L&T HOLDINGS EXPCTED TO GET FIRST BANKING LICENCE !!!!
Rs.120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
Forget Short Term Movment
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Picks Mid-Caps Before
They Become Large Cap
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