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The rupee fell against the dollar for a second straight day this week, due to dollar demand by oil importers.
The dollar gained against other Asian currencies amid speculation that the US Federal Reserve would trim its bond purchases, known as quantitative easing, sooner than expected.
The rupee had opened at Rs 54.98 against the dollar today and during intra-day trades, it touched a high of Rs 54.95 before closing at a near-six month low at Rs 55.42. The rupee had ended at Rs 55.11 yesterday.
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With multiple investment banks signposting the end of the commodity supercycle, a World Bank director has warned developing countries that have benefited from the surge to protect themselves against a price crash.
Marcelo Giugale, the World Bank's director of economic policy and poverty reduction programs for Africa, told that states which have gained from the commodity boom should prepare for a slump.
"We don't want another wasted opportunity," he said. "This time around, things should be done differently. The material bonanza has the potential to become a human bonanza – whereby the standard of living for many people across these developing countries can be raised."
The high prices of commodities, such as industrial metals and oil, have boosted the revenues of countries rich in these resources. But notoriously volatile commodity markets have had catastrophic consequence for countries in the past. The so-called Commodity Crisis of the 1980s saw countries in Latin America and Africa battle financial, social and political instability, following rapid, commodity-driven expansions.
Economists describe the apparent pattern in these price booms and busts as the commodity supercycle, with decades of rising prices followed by a crash.
The Middle of the Storm ::
This potential change to the commodity landscape should motivate countries to put their fiscal houses in order, Giugale said.
"They should sort out government accounts, not run large deficits and have a large cushion available to provide more social protection and assistance," he said. "They should also allow their central banks to fight the inflationary pressure that a crisis like a crash in prices might generate. These two macroeconomic pillars, to me, are sacrosanct."
The prioritization of investment was also key, Columbia University's Erten said.
"It's important for the countries to save part of the commodity boom and invest it in new industries, such as the services sector or manufacturing."
Chile was one of the few countries succeeding in saving the supercycle's windfalls, according to Erten; but most were not.
"Even in South Africa - the continent's most developed country - the majority of industrial policies are pushing for more metal production," she said.
"It's even worse in less-developed African countries. There are very few attempts to diversify, which is really bad because relying on high commodity prices for long-term growth is subjecting economies to very volatile swings."
But Giugale stressed that even though commodity prices were slipping, demand remained high, meaning that developing countries' fiscal revenues should hold up for a while longer.
Being prepared is crucial, he added. "Developing countries don't want to have to deal with issues like this right in the middle of a storm. It's like worrying about your house catching fire when it's already burning."gest steel consumer.
For the past two years, as regular readers you know, We have been bearish on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their peaks during this time, but We don’t think the bear market is over. Wethink we still have a very long way to go.
There are five reasons why We expect prices to drop a lot more!!!!
First, during the last decade commodity producers were caught by surprise by the surge in demand. Their belated response was to ramp up production dramatically, but since there is a long lead-time between intention and supply, for the next several years we will continue to experience rapid growth in supply. As an aside, in our many talks to different groups of investors and boards of directors it has been our impression that commodity producers have been the slowest at understanding the full implications of a Chinese rebalancing.
Second, almost all the increase in demand in the past twenty years, which in practice occurred mostly in the past decade, can be explained as the consequence of the incredibly unbalanced growth process in China. But as even the most exuberant of China bulls now recognize, China’s economic growth is slowing and We expect it to decline a lot more in the next few years.
Third, and more importantly, as China’s economy rebalances towards a much more sustainable form of growth, this will automatically make Chinese growth much less commodity intensive. . Even if China is miraculously able to regain growth rates of 10-11% annually, a rebalancing economy will demand much less in the way of hard commodities.
Fourth, surging Chinese commodity purchases in the past few years supplied not just growing domestic needs but also rapidly growing inventory. The result is that inventory levels in China are much too high to support what growth in demand there will be over the next few years, and We expect Chinese in some cases to be net sellers, not net buyers, of a number of commodities.
And fifth reason in United State QE 3 to end soon . As per market expectation QE3 in America to end before year 2015 .This will effect commodity demand.
This combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of commodities will collapse. We expect that certain commodities, like copper, iron ore coal and Crude will drop by 30% - 50% or more in the next one to three years.
Friends!!!!
From Last Many Days We Were Shouting About Dabba Stocks and Advising You to Exit at Any Cost.!!!
We & You Know Some Stock Crash Heavily & Some Stock Ready For Crash Or Out of Business In Nex 1 to 3 Year!!!!!
Friends!!!!
From Year 2003 to 2008 We Saw Biggest Bull Run In Stock Market !!!!!!
In This Bull Run Many Stock Rise 10 time to 100 time and Some stock Rise 500 time to 1000 time !!!!!
In Last Bull Run Leadership In The Hands Of Cyclical Industry Like Commodity Infra Power Real Estate!!!!
Every Trend Has to An End So As Per Our Estimate Bull Market In Cyclical Already End Or Ready For End!!!!
It Can Happen In Next 1 to3 Year!!!!!!
1.So Be Ready For More Down Fall In Commodity Stocks !!!
2.All Commodity Stocks May Not Go There 2008 High In Hurry Or May Be In Next 5-10 Years.
3. Forget All 2008 Bull Market Leaders !!!
4. Friends Infra As A Invesment We Not Expect Any Profit From This Sector. Sooner Or Later All Infra Projects Can Be Takeover By Govt.
Friends!!!!
In Last Many Days We Got Many E-Mails About New Bull Market !!!!
All E-mails Says That If All 2008 Leaders Not Go Up Where From New Bull Market Come !!!!
Dont Panic Bull Market Still Alive & Definatly Come & Come With More Force Full .Even Bull Market Alreday Started!!!!!
Friends!!!!
You All Know Dow Jones & S&P Alreday Hitt There Life Time Closing High!!!!
Just See Last 120 Years U.S Stock Market Trend U.S. Bull Market Start When Commodity Bull Market End!!!!
Stocks and commodities have Historically Moved in Opposite Directions!!!!!
Each Asset Class Typically Has a 16-18 Year Bull Market Followed by an Equally Long Bear Market!!!!!
In India We See In Last Bull Market 2003-08 Commodity Stocks In Center Stage Like...SAIL..SESA GOA...TATA STEEL..HINDALCO.......ETC
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Friends!!!!
Now Million Dollar Qestion Where From New Bull Market Come!!!!!!!
Last Many Days We Research All Above Factor & Find Result About Next Bull Market!!!!
Friends India is the biggest Exporter of Services & IT & Gems & Jewellary!!!
In Last 2-3 Year India's Biggest Problem Spike In Commodity Price !!!!!!
India Biggest Importer of Commodity Gold Crude Oil Edible Oil!!!!!!
As Commodity Price Rise India's Inflation Also Spike RBI Rise Interset Rate 12 Time In Last 2-3 Years!!!!!
Now In Last One Year Commodity Price Almost Stable Or Trend Down!!!!
Inflation Also Trend Down & RBI 's Stance Now More toGrowth From Inflation!!!!!!
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We Know You All Eager TO Now Where From Big Bull Market Come!!!!!!
Friends!!!
So We Ready For Big Bull Market In IT -Media -Consumption- FMCG- Pharma --Export!!!!!
Sooner Or Later We See Infosys Heading to Rs.10000/- In Next 3-5 Years TCS Will Hitt Rs.5000/- ZEE Ent Again Cross Rs.1000/- HUL To Cross Rs.1500/- JUBLIFOOD Can Cross Rs.5000/-
So Bull Already Enter In IT--MEDIA--FMCG--CONSUMPTION---PHARMA--EXPORT
Alert:------------
When A Bull Market Start . Stock Can Rise 10 Time to 1000 Time As It Happen Past & We Expect Again Happen In Future
1. All Above View is Our Personal View Please Do Your Home Work Before Any Investment!!!
2.The Views Expressed In The Above Newsletter Are Based On Knowledge And Capability Of Our Team And Do Not Reflect Any Fundamental Validity.
3.The Recommendations Are Solely Informational And Is Not An Offer To Buy Or Sell!!!!!!
BUT HOW CAN IT BE WON????
FOR THIS JUST JOIN
(Train For Every Investor)
IF YOU TRY!!!!!!!!
.............YOU MAY WIN OR YOU MAY LOSE.........
...............IF YOU NOT TRY YOU NEVER WIN ..............
The investment ideas of Warren Buffett is most basic and simple to implement. The beauty of his investment ideas is that they are so easy and logical that at timespeople overlook the same ideas even though it must have crossed their mind. These investment ideas of Warren Buffett has not only help the maestro to make billions but also stands as a guiding principles for every other investor of this world.
Warren Buffett’s investment ideas asks us to buy stocksof only those companies whose “fundamentals” are very strong and its stock is available at “undervalued price”. When we say strong fundamentals we mean a healthy financial report, unique product line which is run by exceptional managers.
Think Big TO EARN BIGGG
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What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
2.EVERY DIP IS BUYING OPPORTUNITY....
1.Some Insider Say NIfy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistence at......5990...6025..6068
Nifty.....Today Support at ...5910...5865...5825
Nifty Range...4200--------6600
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Sell Nifty Around 6200/6300
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2.Midcaps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 7/06/2013
buy ril sl 780 TGT800/810/820
buy and hold ktk tgt 180 soon
sell nifty tgt 5830 buy ab closeing 5950
bk nifty ab 12400 then look good
buy all banks on dip
ADAG LOOK GOOD RCOM BUY ON DIP
BUY TATAMO SL 302 TGT 310/315'
BUY TATA ST SL 294 TGT 303/307
UP SIDE WE HAVE EXIT CHANCE NO FRESH BUYING
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.83/-)
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RBI TO ANNOUNCE NEW BANK LICENCE SOON
L&T HOLDINGS EXPCTED TO GET FIRST BANKING LICENCE !!!!
Rs.120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
Forget Short Term Movment
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Picks Mid-Caps Before
They Become Large Cap
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