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Goldman Sachs has a clear warning for investors: Emerging markets will continue to disappoint.
In a December report, the bank's investment management division predicted "the strong possibility of significant underperformance and heightened volatility over the next five to 10 years.
The client note, titled "Emerging Markets: As the Tide Goes Out," recommended that investors with a "moderate" tolerance for risk reduce their exposure by one-third, from 9 percent to 6 percent of overall portfolios.
It's not time to increase portfolios in those markets, even though it may seem attractive because investments appear to be cheap, the report warned.
Goldman Sachs used the 59-page report to argue that growth in emerging markets from 2003 to 2007 was a result of specific economic circumstances that aren't likely to be repeated; the political and economic reforms needed to improve growth are too painful to undertake.
There has also been a "seismic shift" in investor sentiment on emerging markets for the worse. "The returns were not as attractive as expected, the economic growth rates were not as sustainable as imagined, and the countries were not as stable as believed," the report said.
Common themes in Goldman's pessimism on countries like China, Brazil and Russia include overinvolvement of governments in their economies, increasing reliance on commodities and unfavorable demographic trends.
Special News Letter On 25th December!!!!
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For gold, which has plunged 27 percent this year and is on track for its worst performance in over two decades, is the Federal Reserve's decision to begin scaling back its stimulus a nail in the precious metal's coffin?
The reduction in central bank liquidity has further diminished the risk of inflation, which is negative for the yellow metal, said Daniel Morgan, global commodities analyst at UBS.
Central bank liquidity has supported gold and boosted the metal's inflation-hedge appeal in the recent years, driving prices above $1,900 in 2011.
"Economic indicators point to an expansion in the global economy in 2014, and gold isn't going to perform in that environment. You should have your money elsewhere," he added.
Another headwind for the precious metal is strength in the U.S. dollar, said Timothy Riddell, head of global markets research, Asia ANZ. The greenback has been a major beneficiary of the Fed's decision to taper, with the dollar index rising 0.6 percent on Thursday.
The U.S. dollar and gold usually display an inverse correlation - when one rises, the other falls. Gold is priced in dollars, thus when the currency strengthens, the price of the yellow metal typically drops.
From a technical perspective, the risk is to the downside, Riddell said, noting that a close below $1,220 could see gold move to $1,180-85.
Ephrem Ravi, head of metals and mining sector, Asia ex-Japan equity research at Barclays says taper is largely priced into gold, and expects it to trade within a range over the coming months.
"Prices have been hanging around the $1200-$1300 per ounce for a few months now, until tapering is completed it will remain rangebound without much direction," he said.
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IF YOU TRY!!!!!!!!
.............YOU MAY WIN OR YOU MAY LOSE.........
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Warren Buffett’s investment ideas asks us to buy stocksof only those companies whose “fundamentals” are very strong and its stock is available at “undervalued price”. When we say strong fundamentals we mean a healthy financial report, unique product line which is run by exceptional managers.
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What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
1.Some Insider Say NIfTy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistance at......6348...6378..6435
Nifty.....Today Support at ..6270...6225...6142
Nifty Range...4200--------6600
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Sell Nifty Around 6200/6300
Our Opinion for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2. Mid-caps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 27/12/2013
AXIS, ICICI, B LOOK GOOD
buy centurytex sl 280 tgt 310/330/350
buy bombay dyn sl 71 tgt 80/90/100
buy coxnkings sl 102 tgt 120/130
buy tata globel sl 157 tgt 170/180/190
buy lic sl 210 tgt 220/224/228
buy cabk sl 264 tgt 275/280/285
buy cabk sl 264 tgt 275/280/285
buy dlf sl 164 tgt 1728/175/178
buy jndal st sl 247 tgt 254/258/264/270
buy sslt sl 196 tgt 205//210
guys stay away from infy big game news come ........
BUY NIFTY SL 5950 TGT 6350/6540/6680 SELLBELOW TGT 5700
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.83/-)
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RBI TO ANNOUNCE NEW BANK LICENCE SOON
L&T HOLDINGS EXPCTED TO GET FIRST BANKING LICENCE !!!!
Rs.120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
ZEE ENTRTAINMENT
(Bse Ticker-505537@ Rs.242/-)
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BIGGEST BULL RUN YET TO START!!!!
TARGET
Rs.800/- Rs.1200/-
NO IF & BUT!!!
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In January 2013
KirtiscripscaN Research
Brings A Unique Stock In Your Knowledge & Declare It Stock of Year 2013!!!!!
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Stock Then Trading Around Rs.18/-
As Per Our Unique Modal Of Research & Technical Anlysis .
We Saw Something Big Can Happen In Stock In Coming
Months!!!!
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After Hitting High of Rs.24/- In Last Week of January 2013!!!!!
Stock Fell 50% In Next 6 Months & Made Double Bottom Around June 2013 !!!!!!
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In July 2013 Tide Turn For Stock When Stock Cross First Major Resistance on Chart Around Rs.17/-
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Company Sold Its Some Business Around Rs.270cr
On 13th August KirtiscripscaN Predict Company May Declare Very Big Dividend In Coming Months !!!!
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Yesterday As Per BSE Announcment Company Decare Dividend of Rs.29/- Per Share!!!
DELTA CORP
(Bse Ticker-532848@ Rs.89/-)
Stock Again Ready For Big Up Move
Above Rs.101/-
Uppar Range For Stock Rise to Rs.140/-
TARGET
Rs.98/- Rs.101/- SL Rs.79/-
AVANTI FEEDS
(Bse Ticker-512573@ Rs.268/-)
Stock Ready For Next Big Up Move
Above Rs.255/-
TARGET
Rs.282/- Rs.340/- SL Rs.211/-
STATE BANK OF INDIA
(Bse Ticker-500112@ Rs.1785/-)
Market Volatile
TARGET
Rs.1760/- Rs.1740/- SL Rs.1820/-
Forget Short Term Movment
