11/07/2011 STOCK NEWS

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YES!!!!

Developed markets headed for prolonged bear phase, emerging markets’ currencies and equities may come out unscathed.

Six months is a long time for market cycles. Not so long ago (last December, to be precise), celebrity strategists at foreign brokerages were betting on the revival of growth in the US. This resulted in rotation of funds from “expensive” emerging markets (EM) like India at the start of the calendar year. By February, the same strategists were writing the obituary of quantitative easing round two, as key macro-economic data belied their assumption. As we now know it, the recovery was a jobless one.

With the second round of quantitative easing failing to revive corporate growth, the world’s largest economy is preparing for a prolonged bear phase. Along with QE2, some long-standing distortions in asset prices (caused by excess liquidity) will also end due to structural changes. CLSA’s celebrated strategist Russel Napier calls it the “great reset”. He says: “The structural change associated with this ‘great reset’ could reduce the S&P500 to below its March 2009 lows — and potentially to 400.”

The primary reason behind this reset is falling demand for US Treasuries. For long, central banks around the world have invested a substantial portion of their reserves in US T-bills. Until 2010, foreign central banks were buyers of at least 40 per cent of total treasury issuance, but in the first quarter of 2011, these central banks have purchased merely 16 per cent of the issuance, while the Federal Reserve bought almost 200 per cent of total issuance.

Demand for US Treasury bills has a direct impact on asset prices. Over the last 10 years, strong demand for US T-Bills drove yields down, which had an impact on the cost of credit. Thus, low-cost debt boosted corporate earnings and economic growth. With foreign central banks moving to other currencies and safe havens, the US’s fiscal deficit will have to now be funded by the private sector. This also marks an end to the era of cheap money.

What does all this mean for emerging markets like India? Clearly, developed economies are in for difficult times. In contrast, as monetary policy action peaks in India, the investment cycle will revive and equities become viable again. Policy options in the developed world are limited and much less effective, says Napier in his report. He adds that investors should sit out this ‘great reset’ in currencies like the Singapore dollar and “move into EM government debt soon after. As EM monetary policy begins to ease, it will be a good time to move to EM equities”.

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1.France's Lagarde is new IMF chief

Yes!!!!

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) board on Tuesday elected French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde as the new managing director of the global lender.

“The executive board of the International Monetary Fund today selected Christine Lagarde to serve as managing director and madame chairman of the executive board for a five-year term starting July 5,” the IMF said in a statement. Her win was assured after emerging powers China, Russia and Brazil declared their support for her. The United States followed, with its endorsement ahead of the meeting of the 24-member board.

 

Be Alert!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Something not going good in market!!!!

Stay Cautious in Near Term!!!!!

Yes!!!!!!!

You All Know What Happened in Market!!!!!

Always..............track me Brings.......Accurate Idea of market Trends

When Street Talker Barking......

Street Talker Barking.....Nifty Can go 4800...4500...4200 Due to High Crude Price..........

Ongoing Scams Budget Worries

When.....................

1. Insider say Den Network will be next United Spirit of Mr RD.

He is very Bullish on Stock and Consider another United Spirit Like Story he is tipped stock can go 500% to 1000% gain in next 3-4 years. 

2.Insider say Some Big Investor Eyeing on Trent & Shopper's Stop for Big Investment.

3..Insider say Timex may come out for Delisting offer at Heavy Premium to Current market Price. 

According to a recent report by Morgan Stanley Research on emerging markets , the first half of the year will continue to be difficult in terms of returns but the performance is likely to improve in the second half of the year!!!

The report highlights three possible scenarios for the MSCI Emerging Market Index-a bull case, a bear case and a base case. It assigns different weightages to each (see graphic). 

Accordingly, the report says, earnings are likely to see a deceleration in EPS growth, from around 40% YoY in 2010 to 13% YoY in the base case and 4% in the bear case!!!

FII Figure!!!!!! 

                                                                   

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What To Do Today........

Nifty....Today Face Resistence at....5698...5723....5770

Nifty.....Today Support at .....5555...5472...5425

Nifty Range...4800--------6600

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NEXT TGT FOR

WE SHORT NIFTY @6100 TGT 5350 / 4800

OUR 1 TGT HIT NIFTY 5350

Scammmmmmmmm Rumors Every where So Stay Away...

Our Opininon for Today's Market.......

1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......

2.Midcaps Looks Good........

  INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 11/07/2011

SELL SBI BELOW 2470 TGT 2450/2430 SL 2490 BUY ABOVE 2500 TGT HIT

SELL LIC @ 216 TGT 212/208 SL 220  TGT HIT

SELL RIL TGT 820/800/750/700 SL 868 OPEN

BUY BHARTI AB 401 TGT 405/410 SL 496 SELL BELOW 394 OPEN


PAID CALL:
BUY RANBAXY TGT 562 TGT HIT
SELL DLF@ 234 TGT 228 TGT HIT
SELL INFISY@ 2970 TGT 2740 TGT HIT
SELL NIFTY@ 5650 TGT 5610 TGT HIT
SELL TATAST@ 595 TGT 585 TGT HIT


COMMODTIES
BUY GOLD@ 22400 TGT 22500 TGT HIT
BUY SILVER@ 54400 TGT 55000 TGT HIT


CURRENCY 
BUY USD@ 44.50 TGT 44.60 TGTHIT

 

positional SELL RCOM @ 108 TGT 85 / 60 SL 112 1 tgt hit

Jubilant Food Works

(BSE TICKER-533155@ Rs.850/-)

 

From Last One Year We are Shouting!!!!!

Another in The Making!!!!

Now..........................

 

Every Second Person of Dalal Street Barking!!!!!

YES!!!!

 

Our Subscriber's Long in Stock Since Last 2 Month We Given it In Our Series of Kirti's Best 10 Stock For New Bull Run!!!!!

TARGET

Rs.1600/- Rs.2400/- 

 

Alert:- 1.Stock Rise Very Fast in Last 2 Week!!! 

2.Our Subscriber's Long in this stock!!!! 

VST INDUSTRIES

(Bse Ticker-509966@ Rs.1000/-)

The Vazir Sultan Tobacco Company Limited was incorporated on 10th November, 1930, under the Hyderabad Companies Act No. IV of 1320 Fasli and now governed under the Companies Act, 1956. The name of the Company was subsequently changed to VST Industries Limited on 30th April, 1983. The Company has its Registered Office at Azamabad, Hyderabad.

Alert:- Company Declare Excellent FY 2010-11Result

Rs.45/- Dividend Per Share!!!!

TARGET

Rs.1100/- Rs.1300/-

Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long Since Rs.800/- 

OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORPORATION LTD

(Bse Ticker-500312 @ Rs.274/-)

Windfall for ONGC of Rs.12000crore on Cairn Vedanta Deal Cleared by Cabinet 

TARGET

Rs.315/- Rs.350/-

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