12/07/2011 STOCK NEWS

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YES!!!!

Developed markets headed for prolonged bear phase, emerging markets’ currencies and equities may come out unscathed.

Six months is a long time for market cycles. Not so long ago (last December, to be precise), celebrity strategists at foreign brokerages were betting on the revival of growth in the US. This resulted in rotation of funds from “expensive” emerging markets (EM) like India at the start of the calendar year. By February, the same strategists were writing the obituary of quantitative easing round two, as key macro-economic data belied their assumption. As we now know it, the recovery was a jobless one.

With the second round of quantitative easing failing to revive corporate growth, the world’s largest economy is preparing for a prolonged bear phase. Along with QE2, some long-standing distortions in asset prices (caused by excess liquidity) will also end due to structural changes. CLSA’s celebrated strategist Russel Napier calls it the “great reset”. He says: “The structural change associated with this ‘great reset’ could reduce the S&P500 to below its March 2009 lows — and potentially to 400.”

The primary reason behind this reset is falling demand for US Treasuries. For long, central banks around the world have invested a substantial portion of their reserves in US T-bills. Until 2010, foreign central banks were buyers of at least 40 per cent of total treasury issuance, but in the first quarter of 2011, these central banks have purchased merely 16 per cent of the issuance, while the Federal Reserve bought almost 200 per cent of total issuance.

Demand for US Treasury bills has a direct impact on asset prices. Over the last 10 years, strong demand for US T-Bills drove yields down, which had an impact on the cost of credit. Thus, low-cost debt boosted corporate earnings and economic growth. With foreign central banks moving to other currencies and safe havens, the US’s fiscal deficit will have to now be funded by the private sector. This also marks an end to the era of cheap money.

What does all this mean for emerging markets like India? Clearly, developed economies are in for difficult times. In contrast, as monetary policy action peaks in India, the investment cycle will revive and equities become viable again. Policy options in the developed world are limited and much less effective, says Napier in his report. He adds that investors should sit out this ‘great reset’ in currencies like the Singapore dollar and “move into EM government debt soon after. As EM monetary policy begins to ease, it will be a good time to move to EM equities”.

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1.France's Lagarde is new IMF chief

Yes!!!!

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) board on Tuesday elected French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde as the new managing director of the global lender.

“The executive board of the International Monetary Fund today selected Christine Lagarde to serve as managing director and madame chairman of the executive board for a five-year term starting July 5,” the IMF said in a statement. Her win was assured after emerging powers China, Russia and Brazil declared their support for her. The United States followed, with its endorsement ahead of the meeting of the 24-member board.

 

Be Alert!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Something not going good in market!!!!

Stay Cautious in Near Term!!!!!

Yes!!!!!!!

You All Know What Happened in Market!!!!!

Always..............track me Brings.......Accurate Idea of market Trends

When Street Talker Barking......

Street Talker Barking.....Nifty Can go 4800...4500...4200 Due to High Crude Price..........

Ongoing Scams Budget Worries

When.....................

1. Insider say Den Network will be next United Spirit of Mr RD.

He is very Bullish on Stock and Consider another United Spirit Like Story he is tipped stock can go 500% to 1000% gain in next 3-4 years. 

2.Insider say Some Big Investor Eyeing on Trent & Shopper's Stop for Big Investment.

3..Insider say Timex may come out for Delisting offer at Heavy Premium to Current market Price. 

According to a recent report by Morgan Stanley Research on emerging markets , the first half of the year will continue to be difficult in terms of returns but the performance is likely to improve in the second half of the year!!!

The report highlights three possible scenarios for the MSCI Emerging Market Index-a bull case, a bear case and a base case. It assigns different weightages to each (see graphic). 

Accordingly, the report says, earnings are likely to see a deceleration in EPS growth, from around 40% YoY in 2010 to 13% YoY in the base case and 4% in the bear case!!!

FII Figure!!!!!! 

                                                                   

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What To Do Today........

Nifty....Today Face Resistence at....5698...5723....5770

Nifty.....Today Support at .....5555...5472...5425

Nifty Range...4800--------6600

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NEXT TGT FOR

WE SHORT NIFTY @6100 TGT 5350 / 4800

OUR 1 TGT HIT NIFTY 5350

Scammmmmmmmm Rumors Every where So Stay Away...

Our Opininon for Today's Market.......

1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......

2.Midcaps Looks Good........

  INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 12/07/2011

BUY ABGSHIP ABOVE 382 TGT 385/388 SL 378 TGT HIT

SELL COAL IND@ 356 TGT 362/348 SL 360 OPEN

SELL RIL@ 853 SL 862 TGT 842/830  OPEN

BUY DLF AROUND@ 227 TGT 229/232/236 SL 224 SELL BELOW 224 TGT HIT

SELL TATAST BELOW 582 TGT 576/570 SL 588  BUY ABOVE 592 TGT HIT


PAID CALL:

SELL IFOSYS @ 2850 TGT 2800 TGT HIT

BUY 5500 PE@ 55 TGT 90 TGT HIT

SELL TCS@ 1140 TGT 1120 TGT HIT

SELL MAPHS @ 450 TGT 430 TGT HIT

SELL JUBLFOOD@ 850 TGT 830 TGT HIT

BUY WOCKDPH@ 410 TGT 425 TGT HIT

COMMOSTIES
BUY GOLD@ 22500 TGT 22550 TGTHIT
BUY SILVER@ 53000 TGT 53400 TGT HIT
BUY CRUDEOIL@ 4200 TGT 4250 TGT HIT

CURRENCY
USD@ 44.65 TGT 44.75 TGT HIT

 

positional SELL RCOM @ 108 TGT 85 / 60 SL 112 1 tgt hit

Commercial Engineers & Body Builders Co Ltd

(BSE TICKER-533272@ Rs.49/-)

 

CEBBCO produces vehicle and locomotive bodies for diverse applications for road and railways transportation. CEBBCO are one of the leading designers and manufacturers in India of vehicle bodies for commercial vehicles with an extensive portfolio of product offerings. CEBBCO also conduct refurbishment of wagons as well as designing and manufacturing of components for wagons and locomotives in the railways division

India's Leading Vehicle Body Building Company!!!!! 

TARGET

Rs.65/- Rs.91/-

WIM PLAST LTD

(Bse Ticker-526586 @ Rs.218/-)

 

Bet

Bet On Indian Consumption Story!!!!!!

Excellent Stock For Investment!!!!!!!

TARGET

Rs.340/- Rs.400/-

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