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India's deficits and short-term debt levels are "disturbing," but it is not facing a repeat of a 1991 balance of payments crisis, Reserve Bank of India chief Duvvuri Subbarao said.
Dependent on imported oil which it then subsidises, India is exposed to external shocks such as high crude prices and has seen its fiscal and current deficits blow out in recent months, triggering some economists to warn of a looming crisis.
In 1991, India came close to defaulting on foreign debt payments when the first Gulf War drove oil prices up, leading to a depletion of foreign reserves and a currency crash.
Subbarao said the economy was far more resilient now and that the probability of an "implosion" was low.
India's current account deficit for last year is estimated to be higher than in 1991, and short term debt makes up twice as much of total debt as it did in 1991, the RBI governor said.
"That is quite a disturbing picture," he said. "Nevertheless, I would still argue that in 1991 an implosion was imminent, in 2012, an implosion in not imminent."
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RBI CREDIT POLICY ON TUESDAY
RATE CUT ON CARDS!!!!!
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What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistence at......5298...5335...5385
Nifty.....Today Support at ....5215...5165...5125
Nifty Range...4200--------6600
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
WE SHORT NIFTY @6100 TGT 5350 / 4800
OUR 1 TGT HIT NIFTY 5350 OUR 2 TGT ALSO
DONE 4850
DONE 4850
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2.Midcaps Looks Good....
....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 03/05/2012
SELL AXIS BK BELOW 1095 TGT 1085/1075 SL 1115 BUY BA 1120 buy ab
sell tata mo below305 tgt 302/300 sl 30
BUY RABAXI @ 508 TGT 512/515 sl 505 sell below 500
BUY JNADALPOY@ 196 tgt 199/203 sl 194
buy sbi ab 2165 tgt 2179/2190 sl 2140 sell below 2130
SELL LT BELOW 1220 TGT 1211/1200 SL 1229 BUY AB 1235
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