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The future direction of China is the "major" source of uncertainty facing the global economy at the moment, according to billionaire investor George Soros.
The major uncertainty facing the world today is not the euro but the future direction of China. The growth model responsible for its rapid rise has run out of steam," Soros, chairman of the Soros Fund Management, wrote in an opinion piece on the Project Syndicate website on Thursday.
Soros says there are "unresolved contradictions" in the leadership's current policies, which would have profound consequences for China and the world if they are not addressed.
"The Chinese leadership was right to give precedence to economic growth over structural reforms, because structural reforms, when combined with fiscal austerity, push economies into a deflationary tailspin," he said.
"But there is an unresolved self-contradiction in China's current policies: restarting the furnaces also reignites exponential debt growth, which cannot be sustained for much longer than a couple of years," he said.
"A successful transition in China will most likely entail political as well as economic reforms, while failure would undermine still-widespread trust in the country's political leadership, resulting in repression at home and military confrontation abroad," he said.
According to Soros, there are some "eerie resemblances" with financial conditions in the mainland and those that prevailed in the U.S. in the years preceding the crash of 2008.
Economist Nouriel Roubini, renowned for his foretelling of doom and gloom in financial markets, has turned bullish in his 2014 outlook, expecting economic performance to "pick up modestly" in both advanced economies and emerging markets.
"The advanced economies, benefiting from a half-decade of painful private-sector deleveraging, a smaller fiscal drag, and maintenance of accommodative monetary policies, will grow at an annual pace closer to 1.9 percent," he said in an opinion piece on the Project Syndicate website on Tuesday.
"Moreover, so-called tail risks will be less salient in 2014."
Threats of a euro zone implosion, another U.S. government partial shutdown, a debt-ceiling fight, a hard landing in China, or a war between Israel and Iran will be far more subdued, he said. Most advanced economies will still fail to reach true growth potential in 2014, he said, but explained that the positives for the U.S. economy included the shale-energy revolution, improvement in the labor and housing markets, and the flow of manufacturing back to the country.
He also expects emerging markets (EMs) to perform well next year. A fall in commodity prices in 2013 and fears over the "tapering" of U.S. Federal Reserve stimulus hit these economies hard, but Roubini expects them to grow faster this year - closer to 5 percent.
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U.S. crude oil futures fell $3 minutes before the close of trading on Thursday, pressured by expectations for a build in inventories at the benchmark delivery point and a cut in fuel demand that drove prices below a key technical level.
That technical move, when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average is known as the "death cross" and portends a further drop in prices,as per technical analysts.
U.S. crude for February delivery sank to a low of $95.34 a barrel, $3.08 lower than the previous settlement price, after the 50-day moving average of $96.50 crossed below the 200-day of $96.59 on the February contract chart
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What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
1.Some Insider Say NIfTy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistance at......6288...6328..6395
Nifty.....Today Support at ..6190...6145...6112
Nifty Range...4200--------6600
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Sell Nifty Around 6200/6300
Our Opinion for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2. Mid-caps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 7/1/2014
buy centurytex sl 280 tgt 310/330/350 sell below 275
buy raymond sl 280 tgt 330/350
buy rcap sl 345 tgt 380/390
buy suntv sl 355 tgt 390/420
buy exide sl115 tgt 122/128/130
buy maruti sl 1765 tgt 1800/1830/1860
buy bombay dyn ab 72 sl 65 tgt 80/90/100
guys stay away from infy big game news come ........
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.83/-)
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RBI TO ANNOUNCE NEW BANK LICENCE SOON
L&T HOLDINGS EXPCTED TO GET FIRST BANKING LICENCE !!!!
Rs.120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
ZEE ENTRTAINMENT
(Bse Ticker-505537@ Rs.242/-)
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BIGGEST BULL RUN YET TO START!!!!
TARGET
Rs.800/- Rs.1200/-
NO IF & BUT!!!
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In January 2013
KirtiscripscaN Research
Brings A Unique Stock In Your Knowledge & Declare It Stock of Year 2013!!!!!
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Stock Then Trading Around Rs.18/-
As Per Our Unique Modal Of Research & Technical Anlysis .
We Saw Something Big Can Happen In Stock In Coming
Months!!!!
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After Hitting High of Rs.24/- In Last Week of January 2013!!!!!
Stock Fell 50% In Next 6 Months & Made Double Bottom Around June 2013 !!!!!!
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In July 2013 Tide Turn For Stock When Stock Cross First Major Resistance on Chart Around Rs.17/-
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Company Sold Its Some Business Around Rs.270cr
On 13th August KirtiscripscaN Predict Company May Declare Very Big Dividend In Coming Months !!!!
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Yesterday As Per BSE Announcment Company Decare Dividend of Rs.29/- Per Share!!!
DELTA CORP
(Bse Ticker-532848@ Rs.89/-)
Stock Again Ready For Big Up Move
Above Rs.101/-
Uppar Range For Stock Rise to Rs.140/-
TARGET
Rs.98/- Rs.101/- SL Rs.79/-
AVANTI FEEDS
(Bse Ticker-512573@ Rs.268/-)
Stock Ready For Next Big Up Move
Above Rs.255/-
TARGET
Rs.282/- Rs.340/- SL Rs.211/-
Forget Short Term Movment
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