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In India, the world's largest democracy, anticipation is building ahead of the country's general elections which market watchers say could have significant implications for its economy in the coming years.
From April 7 to May 12, some 814 million eligible voters will head to the polls to choose representatives for the 543-seat Lok Sabha, or lower house of Parliament, in what will be the biggest election in history.
The votes will be counted on May 16, after which the party or coalition that earns a majority of seats will select the country's next prime minister.
"The 2014 election is a decisive moment for India. Not in recent years has there been such a sharp divide in economic visions for the economy," said Tushar Poddar, chief India economist at Goldman Sachs, referring to the two largest national parties: the incumbent Indian National Congress (INC), commonly known as Congress, and the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).
The BJP's vision, under its Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi, has a focus on urbanization, infrastructure and clearing red-tape. On the other hand, Congress, under the leadership of Rahul Gandhi, is aiming to promote inclusive growth, through a host of welfare schemes, including a right to health care for all and pensions for the aged and disabled.
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Fall in high Current Account Deficit (CAD) limits India’s vulnerability to global financial market volatility although elevated inflation still poses risks, says rating agency Moody’s.
Moody’s assigns ‘Baa3’ rating on India, with a stable outlook.
“With India, signs of a decline in its high CAD as a percentage of GDP and the make-up of the Government’s debt profile limit the extent of sovereign exposure to global financial market volatility. But continued higher inflation poses risks,” Moody’s Investors Service said in a report.
Wholesale price-based inflation stood at a nine-month low of 4.68 per cent, while retail inflation slowed to a 25-month low of 8.1 per cent in February.
Rising exports and moderation in gold imports have pulled down CAD sharply to $4.2 billion, or 0.9 per cent of GDP, in December quarter of 2013-14.
It narrowed to $31.1 billion (2.3 per cent of GDP) in April-December 2013, from $69.8 billion (5.2 per cent of GDP) in April-December of 2012.
The CAD, which reflects difference between inflow and outflow of foreign currency, had touched a record-high of $88.2 billion, or 4.8 per cent of GDP, in 2012-13.
In the context of Asia, the report said the recent financial market volatility and pressure on emerging market currencies have underscored the potential vulnerability these markets face during an extended period of uncertainty.
“Those with external imbalances, a reliance on external funding, and weak policy frameworks will remain vulnerable to sentiment changes, capital flow adjustments, or disorderly market reactions,” it said.
The key indicators of external vulnerability include a large CAD, low foreign exchange reserves, large government gross borrowing, and high foreign currency denominated debt as a proportion of total general government debt, the report added.
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Mark Zuckerberg, the 29-year-old co-founder of Facebook Inc., lost $3.1 billion this week amid a decline in bank and technology stocks.
The world’s largest social network plummeted 11 percent after the company announced it would buy virtual-reality firm Oculus VR Inc. for at least $2 billion. Zuckerberg is the 22nd richest person on Earth with a $27 billion fortune, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Investor concern about the Federal Reserve’s schedule for scaling back its bond purchases, Russia’s recent annexation of Crimea and possible weakness in first-quarter earnings reports have introduced a “healthy cautiousness” into the market, said John Carey, a portfolio manager at Pioneer Investment Management Inc. in Boston, which manages about $200 billion.
The technology-centric Nasdaq 100 Stock Index fell 2.2 percent during the week while the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 0.5 percent to close at 1,857.62 in New York.
Google Inc. co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page lost a combined $3 billion as the world’s largest Internet search engine prepares to issue 330 million nonvoting C Class shares next week to cement the founders’ control of the company.
The fortune of Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon.com Inc., fell $1.9 billion after the world’s largest online retailer announced it would cut prices for cloud services on Wednesday, a day after Google cut its prices. The new prices go into effect on April 1 for both Amazon and Google.
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What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
1.Some Insider Say NIfTy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistance at......6758...6785..6815
Nifty.....Today Support at ..6640...6605...6562
Nifty Range...5500--------6900
TRACK ME RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Our Opinion for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2. Mid-caps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 1/4/2014
buy rcom sl 125 tgt 135/140 sell below 122
buy techm sl 1790 tgt 1840/1880/1920
buy mnm sl 980 tgt 998/1020/1030
buy heromoto sl 2270 tgt 2340/2380
buy sslt 185 tgt 192/195
tatast heldalco maruti look good
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.83/-)
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RBI TO ANNOUNCE NEW BANK LICENCE SOON
L&T HOLDINGS EXPCTED TO GET FIRST BANKING LICENCE !!!!
Rs.120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
DELTA CORP
(Bse Ticker-532848@ Rs.90/-)
Stock Again Ready For Big Up Move
Above Rs.101/-
Uppar Range For Stock Rise to Rs.140/-
TARGET
Rs.120/150 SL Rs.79/-
MARKSANS PHARMA
(Bse Ticker-524404@ Rs.18.80)
Just Watch Rs.19.25 Clsoing Above Rs.19.25
Gate Open For Stock To Cross Rs.28/-
TARGET
Rs.21/- Rs.24/- SL Rs.15/-
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